Karel's Marketocracy Fund

[Karel]

This week UPL is marked "stalling", but it will get some grace. The stock is really moving this last month.

Well, that was my revised plan, but I forgot to cancel the sell, and the replacement buy for RAIL. We'll keep it like that. RAIL replaces UPL.

Regards,

Karel

[Rob]

Your Fund(s)

Karel, do you have a link somewhere to lists of the stocks currently held in your various funds?

Thanks.

[Karel]

The current list, sorted on date bought (yy-mm-dd):

02-08-12 BLUD
04-04-19 DECK
04-05-04 RUSHB
04-07-06 EPEX
04-07-12 VLO
04-08-02 TSO
06-01-03 JLG
06-01-30 GI
06-02-21 GIL
06-03-06 CIB
06-03-20 TS
06-03-27 GGB
06-04-03 DBRN
06-04-10 NTRI
06-04-24 RAIL

The list for my Mechanical fund is posted in the thread for that fund.

Regards,

Karel

[Rob]

Awesome! Thanks.

[Karel]

... Two weeks ago VNBC went for 29.92, a gain of 257%, or 48% annualized. That is perfect. NTRI entered the fund at 46.71. ...

NTRI! see that doggie run!

And I even have it in my real money portfolio (same entry)

Regards,

Karel

[mimo_100]

Karel,

Thanks for posting all the info. WOW!

I had some time recently to look over your mechanical fund based on
RS26 1-10 HTD 25.

I went over to the fool's mechanical board and researched some info.

They post weekly the VL results for this screen, as I am sure you are aware.

I am going to watch it some more as it appears to be quite successful.

Thanks again for sharing this with us.

Tim

[Karel]

Yes, I am aware of those postings. I couldn't play the screen if they weren't. I look at http://www.mechanicalinvestor.net/index.php, but that might be a dangerous place if you don't know what it is about.

Regards,

Karel

[mimo_100]

Yes, I am aware of those postings. I couldn't play the screen if they weren't. I look at http://www.mechanicalinvestor.net/index.php, but that might be a dangerous place if you don't know what it is about.

Regards,

Karel

Thanks - I found this link the other day -- from you I think -- and downloaded some of the info - I love math so none of this stuff scares me.

Tim

[Karel]

It's time to pick up the thread, after three weeks. The market was no fun last week. My QHF fund, for the languishing portfolio of the year competition, lost -4.5%, against SPY -2.4%, QQQQ -4.7% and IWM -5.2%. The current ranking:

IWM: 25.37
QHF: 24.98
SPY 23.91
QQQQ: 22.90

OK, there were a top 3 and a bottom 3 this week, let's see just how bad this was:

Top 3: RAIL +1.3%, GGB +0.8%, PCU -1.7%
Bottom 3: JLG -16.5%, DECK -12,7%, CIB -8.4%

There were two sells: UPL went for 67.60, a again of 219% or 94% annualized. BLUD went 5/8 for 29.86, a gain of 530%, or 63% annualized. I do some skimming off when a position grows too big, and this means that the annualized gain over all trades is more like 80%, in the case of BLUD.

Rail started running at 70.12, PCU at 101.86.

EPEX is marked stalling. It will be replaced by PBR.

Regards,

Karel

[diogenes]

Karel,

(snip)
I went over to the fool's mechanical board and researched some info. (snip)

A great board!

[Karel]

Karel,

(snip)
I went over to the fool's mechanical board and researched some info. (snip)

A great board!

Yes, it is! If you are mechanically inclined! (Mechanical investing is not for everyone.) But would people who would like to discuss Mechanical Investing please discuss it in my Mechanical Fund thread? This thread is about a way to manage a portfolio of $$$Mr.Market$$$ like picks.

Thank you!

Karel

[Karel]

Again, the market was no fun last week. My QHF fund, for the languishing portfolio of the year competition, lost -6.9%, against SPY -1.7%, QQQQ -2.1% and IWM -2.2%. That means my fund loses the second place to SPY. The current ranking:

IWM: 24.82
SPY 23.51
QHF: 23.25
QQQQ: 22.43

Let's look at the top 3 and a bottom 3 this week, let's see just how bad this was:

Top 3: NTRI +7.6%, GIL -1.6%, DECK -2.6% (yes, two negative in the Top 3)
Bottom 3: PCU -17.0%, TS -14.8%, GGB -13.0%

EPEX went for 21.66, a gain of 24.8% or 12.7% annualized. That is under par. PBR entered the fray at 96.57 and suffered a 7% drop in its first week.

Interestingly, my Shotgun Fund is doing better these weeks. The Shotgun Fund just buys the top three not held from the current list, DD be damned, and holds them for exactly 6 weeks.

No changes.

Regards,

Karel

[Karel]

Now, that was a bit better. My QHF fund scored +0.8%, against SPY +1.0%, QQQQ +0.4% and IWM +1.0%. My fund drops a bit farther behind the top 2. The current ranking:

IWM: 25.07
SPY 23.75
QHF: 23.43
QQQQ: 22.51

What about the top 3 and bottom 3 this week?

Top 3: TS +7.7%, PCU +6.6%, CIB +4.4%
Bottom 3: NTRI -6.6%, RAIL -3.4%, GI -2.5%
Funny: TS, PCU and NTRI changed categories this week.

No changes, and all stocks are well down from their recent highs.

Regards,

Karel

[Karel]

My QHF fund scored +0.3% this week. Up is good, but SPY scored +0.5%, QQQQ +0.4% and IWM +0.8%. My fund again loses a bit against the top 2, and number last gains a bit. The current ranking:

IWM: 25.27
SPY 23.86
QHF: 23.51
QQQQ: 22.59

What about the top 3 and bottom 3 this week?

Top 3: DBRN +10.1%, TSO +4.6%, GI 4.1%
Bottom 3: RAIL -12.2%, JLG -8.9%, PCU -1.8%

Two stocks are marked stalling, JLG and GIL. I'll replace one stock per week, and JLG (the oldest one) will be replaced by IBCA.

Regards,

Karel

[billyjoe]

Karel,
DBRN has been heavily touted by media this past week : FOX , CNBC , IBD.

billyjoe