Today's Stocks in an Uptrend

[billyjoe]

2/9 History is made! Only 6 uptrenders but 4 are 3Xers

ATML, PLAB, and MERC 3X, JDSU 3X, OPLK 3X, AVGO 3X


MERC buy 10.13 stop 9.62 target 11.75

JDSU buy 23.44 stop 22.27 target 27.19

OPLK buy 25.80 stop 24.51 target 29.93

AVGO buy 31.46 stop 29.89 target 36.49

----------billy

MERC hits target in 5 days. Although it never got closer than .09 to buy zone it hit .19 above target a few minutes ago. That makes 41/55.

-------------billy

[billyjoe]

Hmmm...how can it be counted as a win ifn' it never made it to the "buy" zone....

just wonderin'.....hags....

Hags,
Good question. I guess it's just another mystery of the market. I've got to do more research on these results since with MERC hitting target that makes 16/41 of the target hitters or 39% of them never in the zone. Many got within pennies or 1% so I may have to raise my buy zone. Currently it is 96% of the closing price the day it qualifies. Will have some more stats later today.

------------billy

[billyjoe]

Hags,
I checked the 16 target hitters that never were in the buy zone. I couldn't find historical data on ISLN since it was bought out and delisted. The other 15 all went up more than 16% from the lowest price after I posted. Maybe I should just say "buy at tomorrow's open" instead of trying to squeeze out another 4% (gained by making buy zone 96% of close). Here are the 15 that were never in the buy zone and the % of closeness they got to the zone before reaching target.

ENTR 4.15%, NSU 3.20%, BORN 2.64%, CCME 2.83%, HL 3.66%, EXK 4.18%

PAL 2.94%, SPRD 3.00%, HYC 5.96%, DDS 2.47%, KOG 1.68%, IDCC 1.73%

WAVX .7%, MERC .88%, JDSU 2.33%

Now I'll check those that hit target and also dropped into the buy zone and see how they'd have faired had they been bought at next day's open.

-------------billy

[billyjoe]

2/14

TQNT, TSO, GEOI, and VLO 3X

VLO is a buy at 27.92, stop 26.52, target 32.39


-----------billy

[billyjoe]

1/14

NANO, BRKS, OVTI, NVLS, LRCX, CYMI, VSEA, MKSI, SINA, CPE, and NVMI 3X, MGIC 3X


NVMI buy 9.22, stop 8.76, target 10.70

MGIC buy 7.53, stop 7.15, target 8.73

-----------billy

NVMI blew past target of 10.70 today hitting 11.00 this morning. It took 32 days and was in the buy zone of 9.22 or lower on 1/20. That makes 42/56.

----------------billy

[hags]

Hags,
I checked the 16 target hitters that never were in the buy zone. I couldn't find historical data on ISLN since it was bought out and delisted. The other 15 all went up more than 16% from the lowest price after I posted. Maybe I should just say "buy at tomorrow's open" instead of trying to squeeze out another 4% (gained by making buy zone 96% of close). Here are the 15 that were never in the buy zone and the % of closeness they got to the zone before reaching target.

ENTR 4.15%, NSU 3.20%, BORN 2.64%, CCME 2.83%, HL 3.66%, EXK 4.18%

PAL 2.94%, SPRD 3.00%, HYC 5.96%, DDS 2.47%, KOG 1.68%, IDCC 1.73%

WAVX .7%, MERC .88%, JDSU 2.33%

Now I'll check those that hit target and also dropped into the buy zone and see how they'd have faired had they been bought at next day's open.

-------------billy

thanks billy for looking at ye results for me....

hags

[billyjoe]

Hags,
I ran the results again eliminating all stops. With those that were in the "buy" zone I changed purchase price to closing price on qualification day. This took at least 4% profit from those 24. With the 16 that went up never dropping into the zone I used as purchase price the lowest price the stock reached after qualification but before reaching target. Then I calculated the highest price achieved since the targets were hit. These are the results. These numbers can be used to determine a sell limit order. Turns out 16% was way too early to sell all but 1. The newest, NVMI, is not in the calculations and ISLN also isn't since price couldn't be determined.

Stock----Highest Gain % since Purchase Price

ENTR-----75.60%-----------MERC--29.35
MIPS-----70.73-------------PUDA--28.95
ARMH-----64.20-------------BKI----27.64
MSB------63.59--------------DNN--26.58
URZ------60.99--------------AGQ--26.16
ASYS-----59.44-------------NANO--25.54
HL--------51.11-------------MGIC--23.57
SPRD-----51.09-------------WAVX--23.49
TEN------50.74--------------SIMG--22.54
AGQ------49.30--------------JDSU--21.33
CCME----47.33----------------SLW-21.32
PAL------46.88----------------DIN--20.97
EXK------46.20---------------BORN-20.16
HYC-----44.64----------------XXIA--19.80
NFLX-----40.73----------------HNR--19.17
AXTI-----38.21----------------KOG--17.00
IDCC-----36.89---------------AMZN--16.29
NSU-----36.44----------------EBIX---14.21
SPRD----36.37
AUDC----31.73
DDS------30.96
QTM-----30.35

---------------billy

[riverbabe]

Nvmi

NVMI blew past target of 10.70 today hitting 11.00 this morning. It took 32 days and was in the buy zone of 9.22 or lower on 1/20. That makes 42/56.

----------------billy

Yea team!!!

[billyjoe]

2/15

None

-------billy

[wooish]

Your picks are very impressive. I have to admit I have not follow any of your picks but I will start looking to buy some of your picks if time allows. Great job buddy.

[billyjoe]

Uptrenders 2/16

PLAB, SU, DIOD, TSO, WNR

--------billy

[billyjoe]

2/17

NVDA, TDSC, FN, TBL, WTW


----------billy

[riverbabe]

2/17

NVDA, TDSC, FN, TBL, WTW


----------billy

NVDA was a Barron's pick forecast to be up 80% in 2011. I got in at 24.28 then, up 5.74% at this point.

[Renegade]

Nvda

Even Mad Money's Jim Cramer said publicly two nights ago to Buy Buy Buy NVDA.

I'm sure people have problems with him, but I think he's a funny toon. If you picture him as bugs bunny, it makes the show so much more enjoyable.

[billyjoe]

2/18

AGP, OPLK


OPLK has appeared 4 times and came within .45 of hitting target today


-------------billy